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Do you remember when NVDA stock had a very high StockCharts Technical Rank (SCTR) score for most of 2023 and 2024? If not, that’s OK. You’ll remember when you look at the chart of NVDA later in this article. 

The chip company we know so well — NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) — has seen its share of euphoria and panic. NVDA’s stock price gained 239% in 2023 and 171.24% in 2024. Mega tech companies plan to increase their AI spend in 2024, which could boost NVDA’s stock price, given NVDA’s dominance in AI chips. But this doesn’t make the stock price immune from selloffs. We saw how the news on January 27 about DeepSeek’s ability to build AI models more cost-effectively sent investors scrambling to sell off NVDA shares.

The NVDA stock price fall was the biggest one-day loss the stock market has seen as of this writing. This price action gave investors a dose of reality — even the best-performing stock can go through a steep plunge when you least expect it. Fortunately, investors overcame the initial DeepSeek scare and NVDA’s stock price is on its path to recovery.

Let’s walk through NVDA’s stock price charts, starting with the weekly chart (see chart below).

FIGURE 1. WEEKLY CHART OF NVDA STOCK. It’s been in a steady uptrend since the end of 2022. After the recent pullback to its 50-week simple moving average, the stock has been struggling.Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

After the pullback from November 2021 to October 2022, the stock has been on a relatively sustained uptrend. At the end of January 2023, NVDA’s SCTR score crossed above 76, a threshold level I use to identify a stock that’s gaining technical strength. For the most part, the SCTR score remained above this threshold until the end of 2024.

The SCTR score is now inching toward the 76 level, and NVDA stock’s price is at its 21-week exponential moving average (EMA).

Let’s see what the daily chart is displaying.

FIGURE 2. DAILY CHART OF NVDA STOCK. After the massive fall on January 27, NVDA’s stock is showing signs of recovery. It still needs more upside momentum to push the stock price higher. However, if the stock price moves to the downside, there are clear support levels to monitor.Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

When NVDA’s stock price fell on January 27, the close was below its 200-day simple moving average (SMA), which caused a big drop in the stock’s SCTR score. Even after recovering from the fall, the stock price again dipped below its 200-day SMA on February 3. The stock is now on its way to filling the DeepSeek down gap.

The SCTR score is less than 70 and looks like it’s stalling. The stock price is between the 21-day EMA and 50-day simple moving average (SMA). Both are relatively flat. The stock needs more momentum to break through the resistance of the SMA.

Other criteria to consider are:

  • The rate of change (ROC) is still in negative territory.
  • The percentage price oscillator (PPO) has just crossed above its signal line. The PPO histogram is just above the zero line.
  • The relative strength index (RSI) is just above the 50 line.
  • Volume is still tepid.

Overall, NVDA’s stock price is showing hesitancy and could move in either direction. A push to the upside would move the stock price higher, hitting its previous highs. But the momentum behind it has to be strong.

If the stock price falls, watch the following support levels:

  • The 21-day EMA.
  • Price action between $127 and $129.
  • Price action between $113 and $115.

A reversal from a pullback with follow-through is a great place to accumulate positions. Make sure to monitor the chart and get a feel for when the bulls become more dominant.

The Bottom Line

NVDA’s stock price movement is leaning toward the downside, which isn’t unusual in an uncertain investment environment. You’re better off looking at the overall trend and applying objective analytical tools, such as the SCTR Reports and technical indicators, in order to identify strength and momentum in a specific stock, exchange-traded fund, or index. Make your investment decisions based on what the charts and tools are indicating; not on the noise you hear.


Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional.

On Monday morning, President Trump announced plans to impose 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports — a sweeping policy move that’s certain to reshape the Materials sector. While this can negatively affect several industries, domestic steel producers are likely to benefit from increased demand.

How Markets Reacted to the 25% Tariff Announcement

The StockCharts MarketCarpets provides a clear visual of how investors reacted when the tariff announcement made headlines.

FIGURE 1. MARKETCARPETS VIEW OF THE MATERIALS SECTOR. Notice the top gainers consist of domestic metals producers.Image source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

The stocks that gained the most following the announcement were Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) and Nucor Corporation (NUE), both domestic steel producers, as well as Newmont Corporation (NEM), a mining company focused on gold and copper extraction.

The surge in STLD and NUE reflects investor expectations that tariffs will curb foreign competition, allowing US steelmakers to raise prices and expand market share. NEM also gained, likely due to broader market concerns over trade tensions and inflation. On top of this, copper — a key industrial metal — could see supply chain shifts or price fluctuations, depending on how tariffs impact global trade flows.

Let’s take a longer-term look at these stocks relative to the Materials sector and the broader market (S&P 500). Below is a PerfCharts view of their relative performance over the last year.

FIGURE 2. PERFCHARTS OF THE S&P 500, XLB, STLD, NUE, AND NEM. Though NEM outperformed, the other stocks and the Materials sector underperformed the broader market.Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

Global steel production decreased in 2024. So it’s no surprise that the Materials Select Sector SPDR Fund (XLB), our sector proxy, underperformed the S&P 500, and that many steel producers and miners would also underperform the broader market and sector. Interestingly, NEM outperformed the S&P 500, XLB, STLD, and NUE in 2024 due to surging gold prices, strong financial performance, increased gold production, and free cash flow.

Still, if the new tariff environment remains unchanged, then NEM and especially STLD and NUE may have plenty of room to run. Let’s take a look at the sector and all three stocks to see if there are any present trading opportunities.

Let’s start with XLB. Take a look at a 5-year seasonality chart of XLB to get some context.

FIGURE 3. 5-YEAR SEASONALITY CHART OF XLB.  Sector performance tends to follow a cyclical pattern, with March, July, and November historically seeing the highest close rates and average gains.Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

Geopolitical shifts under the new administration will likely reshape seasonal trends. Nevertheless, historical context remains valuable. Over the past five years, March has been XLB’s second-strongest month, with a 75% higher-close rate and an average gain of 4.8%. That’s the seasonality picture.

Now, let’s look at the price action from a longer-term trend perspective. Below is a weekly chart of XLB.

FIGURE 4. WEEKLY CHART OF XLB. While the Materials sector has lagged behind the S&P 500, it’s been trending upward nevertheless.Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

This five-year chart shows XLB underperforming the S&P 500. If you go back a few decades, this negative performance has been steady. Yet XLB, due to overall market growth, inflation, and sector-specific cycles, has been trending up in absolute terms.

Demand for materials is cyclical, and the Materials sector Bullish Percent Index ($BPMATE), a breadth indicator, illustrates this clearly. Currently, the BPI is moving upwards, with 31% of stocks within the sector flashing Point & Figure buy signals. Typically a crossover from below to above 30% would issue a bull alert; a move above 50% would strongly favor the bulls, signifying that buyers have the edge. Understanding XLB’s broader trend helps contextualize whether the stocks within the sector are moving with or against the sector’s trend relative to their trajectories.

Let’s look at the daily chart of NEM.

FIGURE 5. DAILY CHART OF NEM. Is it a new bullish trend or a bear rally?Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

NEM is attempting to recover from a steep selloff that began in October. The key question is whether the bullish reversal signals the start of a robust recovery or a temporary bounce within a sustained downtrend.

To gain insight into this question, let’s examine a couple of indicators: one that measures momentum and another that analyzes volume. Volume-wise, the Accumulation/Distribution Line (ADL) plotted behind the price shows strong money flow into the stock, its buying pressure supporting NEM’s recovery. The Commodity Channel Index (CCI) is showing strong bullish momentum, yet indicates that NEM may be sailing into overbought conditions.

The key levels to watch are near the top line (Leading Span B, red cloud) and the projected bottom line (also the Leading Span B, but in the green section) of the Ichimoku Cloud. If price declines at or near the top, but bounces at the bottom, the bullish reversal thesis remains intact, signaling a potential early buying opportunity for those looking to get into the stock. If prices fall below the bottom level, the downtrend is likely to resume.

Now let’s look at the domestic steelmakers on the list, starting with a weekly chart of STLD.

FIGURE 6. WEEKLY CHART OF STLD. The stock price looks like it’s in a volatile ascent.Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

I’m highlighting a weekly rather than a daily chart for two reasons: First, you can’t see the larger (trend) context on a daily chart, and second, the key levels are just as apparent in the weekly as in the daily chart.

Over the last six years, of which the last three are shown on the chart, STLD has been trending upward with increasing volatility. Steel production in the US may have decreased significantly in 2024, yet STLD prices continue to cumulatively rise. This trend underscores the inherent cyclicality of the steel industry, as evidenced by the fluctuating prices.

NOTE: Although “seasonality” and cyclicality can be related, the latter refers more to macroeconomic, industry, and supply-demand shifts. These typically drive fluctuations in a manner that gets smoothed out in seasonality charts. So, when I use the term “cyclicality,” I’m referring to these fluctuations before them being “averaged out” in a seasonality calculation.

The ZigZag line illustrates the major swing highs and lows that define the trend, as well as key support and resistance levels. If STLD’s uptrend were to maintain its trajectory, price must stay above the swing low level slightly above $110 (see magenta line) and eventually break above resistance at the most recent swing high at $155. Given this is a weekly chart, it may take months to play out (assuming the longer-term uptrend sustains itself).

Note, however, that the selling pressure appears to be the dominant driver for near-term volume, according to the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF). If volume precedes price in this particular instance, then a pullback may be imminent.

Last, but not least, take a look at a daily chart of NUE.

FIGURE 7. DAILY CHART OF NUE. The stock is in a downtrend and all the indicators spell a bear rally.Chart source: StockCharts.com. For educational purposes.

NUE may have jumped 6.24% on Monday, but what are investors rushing into? While Trump’s 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum imports are likely to boost domestic steel producers, NUE is amid an arguably robust downtrend.

Its response to the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement (drawn from the December high to low) isn’t promising either, making the recent surge look more like a bear rally than a bullish trend reversal. Additionally, the CMF has remained largely negative, dipping well below the zero line and recently crossing it again, indicating that selling pressure continues to dominate.

However, there are shoots of hope, as NUE appears to be rising against the broader Dow Jones U.S. Iron & Steel Index ($DJUSST) of which NUE is a component (see magenta line). If NUE stays above the $115 level (the most recent swing low), then such a level may signal a bottom. Of course, you’ll want to make sure that volume and momentum support are aligned with this potential reversal.

At the Close

If you’re bullish on U.S. steel producers, consider adding these stocks to your ChartLists, keeping a close watch on the MarketCarpets Materials sector view, and staying informed on industry news. With these tools and insights, you’re likely to spot a market opportunity.


Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice. The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional.

While 2024 was defined by the strength of the Magnificent 7 stocks, 2025 has so far been marked by a significant change of character on many of these former high flying growth names.  And while most remain in constructive long-term patterns, the short-term changes make me skeptical of further market upside without the support of these mega cap players.

Let’s group these charts into three buckets: the top performers, the broken charts, and the diverging darlings.

The Top Performers: META and NFLX

This first bucket features two stocks that are moving higher in 2025 just like they did for much of 2024.  While the remaining stocks on this list have experienced some change of character, these are the names that remain in consistent uptrend phases.

Both Meta Platforms (META) and Netflix (NFLX) have achieved new all-time highs in February, with strong earnings calls serving as the latest catalyst for price appreciation.  Both charts remain above upward-sloping 50-day moving averages, and as long as they continue to make higher highs and higher lows, they should be considered innocent until proven guilty.

The Broken Charts: TSLA, AAPL, MSFT, and NVDA

2025 has been much less kind to this second group of “Formerly Magnificent 7” names, as all four of them have pulled back from a strong 4th quarter performance.  Apple (AAPL) in particular strikes me as a chart that is demonstrating a potentially catastrophic bearish price pattern, with a clear “line in the sand” to monitor in the coming weeks.

After rising to a new all-time high around $260 in late December, AAPL pulled back to find support at the early November low around $220.  While the stock has bounced higher after that sudden 16% drop, a bearish engulfing pattern at the 50-day moving average at the end of January reinforced that this is a name most likely in a distribution pattern.

Now we have clear neckline support at the previous swing lows around $220.  If AAPL is able to hold this support level, then we’d label this a consolidation phase and wait for further clarification.  But if the $220 level is finally broken, that would complete a topping pattern and also represent a break of the 200-day moving average.  A quick measurement would suggest a downside target around $190, representing a 27% drop from the December 2024 high.

The Diverging Darlings: AMZN and GOOGL

Now we’re left with two stocks that both feature a bearish momentum divergence, a pattern that has proliferated among US stocks in recent months.  When prices make new highs on strong momentum, that suggests a healthy uptrend phase.  But when prices make new highs on weaker momentum, this bearish divergence indicates a lack of upside follow-through and a high likelihood of a market top.

While Amazon.com (AMZN) still remains above two upward-sloping moving averages, the early February high is marked by a downward-sloping RSI.  This bearish pattern could easily be negated if AMZN is able to achieve further highs on improving momentum.  But the divergence looks very similar to other stocks that have experienced major tops.

In fact, Alphabet (GOOGL) featured a bearish momentum divergence going into last week’s earnings release.  And while that certainly put GOOGL on a “red flag” watch list for me, the gap lower and subsequent post-earnings drop tells me that investors are questioning the long-term bull story for this former leadership name.

Similar to the AAPL chart, I would argue that the 200-day moving average could be the most important level to watch.  A pullback to the 200-day moving average after an earnings miss could represent a decent retracement to set the stage for the next big move higher.  But if stocks like AAPL and GOOGL fail to hold that the 200-day moving average, what would that tell us about investors’ risk appetite in February 2025?

To be clear, very few of the Magnificent 7 stock look truly negative from a long-term perspective, with most of them still within close proximity to a recent all-time high.  But given how many of these former leadership names have experienced at least initial breakdowns from their recent highs, I’m starting to look elsewhere for opportunities on the long side.

RR#6,

Dave

PS- Ready to upgrade your investment process?  Check out my free behavioral investing course!

David Keller, CMT

President and Chief Strategist

Sierra Alpha Research LLC

Disclaimer: This blog is for educational purposes only and should not be construed as financial advice.  The ideas and strategies should never be used without first assessing your own personal and financial situation, or without consulting a financial professional.  

The author does not have a position in mentioned securities at the time of publication.    Any opinions expressed herein are solely those of the author and do not in any way represent the views or opinions of any other person or entity.

Copper miners with productive assets have much to gain as supply and demand tighten.

The copper price hit a new all-time high of US$10,954 per metric ton (MT) on the London Metal Exchange and US$5.20 per pound on the COMEX on May 20 on the back of increasing demand and growing supply concerns.

While construction and electrical grids have long been major markets for copper, today the rise in demand for electric vehicles (EVs), EV charging infrastructure and energy storage applications are emerging drivers of copper consumption.

“I’m a copper bull, it’s a long-term performing asset, but ‘quality’ is what you have to add to the phrase, and I think copper is essential. As we all see the population growth, modernization, electrification, it’s going to be a key metal going forward,” said Ivan Bebek, chairman of Torq Resources (TSXV:TORQ,OTCQX:TRBMF), at a January panel.

Given those factors, investors may want to keep an eye on the world’s top copper-mining companies. According to the latest stats from global financial infrastructure and data provider LSEG, the following companies were the largest copper producers in 2023. Read on to learn more about their operations.

1. Freeport-McMoRan (NYSE:FCX)

Company Profile

Copper production: 2,058,910.28 MT

The most productive of the world’s copper mining companies, Freeport-McMoRan recorded 2,058,910.28 metric tons (MT) of copper output in 2023. One of its biggest copper assets is the Grasberg mine in Indonesia, which is the second largest copper mine in the world, as well as the world’s second largest gold mine. The company continues to make significant investments to increase its output of both copper and gold.

Long-term mine development activities are underway at Grasberg’s Kucing Liar deposit. Freeport-McMoRan believes that it could produce over 6 billion pounds of copper and 6 million ounces of gold between 2028 and the end of 2041.

In Q1, the company exceeded expectations to produce 1.1 billion pounds of copper, up from 965 million pounds in Q1 2023, with a big help from a 49 percent jump in production from its Indonesian operations.

2. BHP (ASX:BHP,NYSE:BHP,LSE:BHP)

Company Profile

Copper production: 1,389,022 MT

BHP produced 1,389,022 MT of copper in 2023, with the majority coming from two mines in Chile, one in Peru and three mines in Australia. The first Chilean mine is Escondida, the world’s largest copper mine and an important contributor to the country’s economy. The company’s other Chilean mine is the Spence copper mine, whose life BHP is working to extend by 50 years. In Peru, BHP owns the giant Antamina copper-zinc mine.

Although the red metal is only one of the resources BHP produces, the company has been increasing its foothold in the copper market through exploration and development, as well as through acquisitions. In April 2023, the mining giant finalized its US$6.4 billion acquisition of Australian copper-gold producer OZ Minerals. This gave it control of the Carrapateena and Prominent Hill mines to add to its Australian copper production out of the polymetallic Olympic Dam.

In its operational review for the nine months ending in March 31 2024, BHP CEO Mike Henry explained that the company’s ‘(c)opper volumes have increased by 10 per cent reflecting strong performance and additional tonnes from Copper South Australia, record year-to-date performance from Spence, and improved grades and production at Escondida.’

Next up, BHP is making a bid for Anglo American (LSE:AAL,OTCQX:AAUKF) and its copper assets. As of mid-May, Anglo had rejected BHP’s US$42 billion takeover offer.

3. Codelco

Copper production: 1,347,200 MT

As the world’s third largest copper producer, Chilean state-owned Codelco put out 1,347,200 MT in 2023. The company’s copper production is at the lowest levels in 25 years, according to Reuters.

Codelco is nearing completion of a US$1.4 billion project launched in 2021 aimed at extending the life of its Salvador mine through 2068 by converting the underground mine to an open-pit operation. The Rajo Inca project is set to begin production this year, and is part of the company’s larger US$40 billion plan to upgrade its many aging mines.

Codelco is also carrying out a large upgrade to its Chuquicamata operations. However, these efforts have been plagued by numerous delays, including collapses and construction challenges.

4. Anglo American (LSE:AAL,OTCQX:AAUKF)

Company Profile

Copper production: 1,147,300 MT

British miner Anglo American controls a diverse resource portfolio that includes economically important commodities such as copper, diamonds, platinum and iron ore. The company holds a 44 percent stake in Chile’s Collahuasi copper mine.

Anglo American’s Los Bronces open-pit copper-molybdenum mine is also located in Chile, as is its El Solado mine, which is reportedly running out of high-grade ore.

To strengthen its position as one of the world’s top copper producers, the company is advancing its Quellaveco copper project in Peru. Once in operation, it is expected to deliver around 300,000 MT of copper annually in the first 10 years.

As it works to stave off a takeover by BHP, Anglo American has reportedly initiated a hiring freeze and is considering spinning out or offloading some of its coal, nickel, diamond and platinum assets in order to fully focus on revamping production at its copper assets.

5. Antofagasta (LSE:ANTO)

Company Profile

Copper production: 714,972 MT

Antofagasta operates four mines in Chile and produced more than 714,972 MT of copper in 2023. Copper output was up for the year at the company’s flagship asset, Los Pelambres, mainly as a result of the completed construction of a desalination plant during the year. The company is looking to further increase production rates for 2024 at Los Pelambres.

Declining grades contributed to lower copper production in 2023 at the Centinela and Antucoya mines. Production for 2024 is expected to continue to decline at Centinela but remain stable at Antucoya. Additionally, lower ore processing rates led to lower production at its Zaldivarin mine last year.

Earlier this year, Antofagasta secured US$2.5 billion for the expansion of Centinela, which will include increasing production with a second concentrator that will have the capacity to add 144,000 MT of annual copper production.

6. Glencore (LSE:GLEN,OTC Pink:GLCNF)

Company Profile

Copper production: 695,750 MT

Glencore produced 695,750 MT of copper in 2023. In the Democratic Republic of Congo, the Swiss-based company operates the Katanga and Mutanda copper-cobalt mines. Its Australia operations are the Mount Isa mines, which produce copper anode material, silver-lead bullion and zinc concentrates, and the CSA underground copper mine. Additionally, Glencore holds interests in the Collahuasi mine (44 percent) in Chile and the Antamina mine (33.75 percent) in Peru.

In May 2023, the market heard plans that the major diversified miner was looking to invest US$1.5 billion in an expansion project at its Antapaccay copper mine in Peru. Also last year, Glencore tried to win over Teck Resources (TSX:TECK.A,TSX:TECK.B,NYSE:TECK) shareholders with a US$23.2 billion merger offer in a bid to further increase its position in the global copper market. Although that didn’t happen, Glencore agreed to acquire a 77 percent stake in Teck’s steelmaking coal business in November 2023. Glencore has also shown an interest in making its own play for Anglo American.

7. KGHM Polska Miedz (FWB:KGHA.F)

Company Profile

Copper production: 614,278.5 MT

Poland’s KGHM Polska Miedz has operations in Europe, North America and South America, and says that it holds over 40 million MT of copper ore resources worldwide. In 2023, the company produced more than 614,278.5 MT of copper.

Along with copper concentrates, KGHM’s primary products include copper cathode and copper wire rod. In February 2023, KGHM signed a copper cathode supply agreement with Nexans (EPA:NEX), a major wire and cable company.

In its Q1 2024 report, KGHM highlighted that payable copper output increased by 2 percent over the same period in the previous year, attributed to better quality ore from the mines.

8. First Quantum Minerals (TSX:FM,OTC Pink:FQVLF)

Company Profile

Copper production: 561,815 MT

Canada’s First Quantum Minerals produced more than 561,815 MT of copper in 2023. The company previously had seven copper-producing mines across six countries, with the most important being the Kansanshi copper-gold mine in Zambia and the newest one being the Cobre Panama copper mine in Panama. However, in November 2023, First Quantum was forced to shut Cobre Panama down after its contract was ruled unconstitutional in court.

In March 2023, First Quantum completed a partnership agreement with Rio Tinto (ASX:RIO,NYSE:RIO,LSE:RIO) to advance development in one of the world’s largest undeveloped copper resources, the La Granja copper project in Peru.

In its Q1 2024 results, the company reported total copper production for the quarter was down by 37 percent from Q4 2023, due in large part to the shutdown at Cobre Panama. First Quantum also shared that it had successfully strengthened its balance sheet enough to continue with the expansion project at Kansanshi, which is on track for first production in 2025.

9. Southern Copper (NYSE:SCCO)

Company Profile

Copper production: 556,026 MT

A majority-owned, indirect subsidiary of Grupo Mexico (BMV:GMEXICOB), Southern Copper recorded 556,026 MT of copper production for 2023. The company operates major copper mines in Peru and Mexico and has exploration projects in Argentina, Chile, Ecuador, Mexico and Peru. Southern Copper claims to have the largest copper reserves in the industry.

The company expects its copper production for 2024 to increase by 2.7 percent over last year’s, in part because the Pilares project has now reached full capacity and should add 44,000 MT in 2024.

10. Norilsk Nickel

Copper production: 494,346 MT

The tenth largest copper producing company in 2023 is Russia’s Norilsk Nickel. Additionally, it’s also one of the world’s largest nickel, palladium and platinum producers. Also known as Nornickel, the company has mining operations in five different countries across three continents. In 2023, Nornickel’s copper output totaled 494,346 MT of the metal. The company’s copper production guidance for 2024 is pegged at 334,000 MT to 354,000 MT.

A vertically integrated global metals business, Nornickel also produces copper concentrate, copper alloys and wire rods used in electrification and construction. Under the stress of sanctions placed on Russia stemming from its war of aggression against Ukraine, Reuters reported in April 2024 that Nornickel will close its Arctic copper plant in its home country and instead build a new plant in China via a joint venture. Construction is slated for completion by mid-2027 to produce approximately 2 million MT of copper concentrate per year.

Securities Disclosure: I, Melissa Pistilli, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

This post appeared first on investingnews.com

Investor Insight

For investors with an eye on mining stocks, New Murchison Gold (ASX:NMG) presents a unique opportunity. The company’s shallow, high-grade Crown Prince gold deposit, significant land package in the prolific Murchison goldfields, and strategic alliance with established Australian gold producer Westgold Resources position it as a noteworthy contender in the Western Australian gold exploration space. As NMG continues to navigate the path to production, its journey is one that astute investors will watch with keen interest.

Overview

Within the heart of Australia’s Murchison gold district, a region host to more than 35 Moz gold endowment (historic production and current resources), stands New Murchison Gold, a forward-thinking gold explorer with a clear strategy to maximise shareholder value driven by a highly experienced management team. The company’s value proposition centres on growing and de-risking its shallow, high-grade Crown Prince gold deposit (part of the company’s Garden Gully gold project) and a strategic alliance with established Australian gold producer Westgold Resources (ASX:WGX), offering a clear pathway to production and cash flow generation.

The Westgold alliance has resulted in a binding ore purchase agreement with Big Bell Gold Operations, a wholly owned operating subsidiary of Westgold Resources. The agreement will underpin production from NMG’s Crown Prince deposit in 2025, and will see the company delivering 30 kt to 50 kt of ore to Westgold per month.

Key Project

Garden Gully

New Murchison Gold’s flagship Garden Gully gold project is located 20 km northwest of Meekatharra, Western Australia. The project boasts a 677 sq km tenement package that covers the Abbotts Greenstone Belt. The project includes granted mining leases and Native Title agreements in place over the Crown Prince, Abbotts and Lydia prospects. Garden Gully is in close proximity to a number of operating gold mines and existing gold processing facilities.

New Murchison Gold has a strong pipeline of exploration and development prospects at Garden Gully, with the most advanced being Crown Prince.

Crown Prince deposit

The Crown Prince deposit has an updated mineral resource estimate of 2.2 Mt at 3.9 g/t gold for 279 koz, which includes an indicated resource estimate of 226 koz at 4.6 g/t Au. (81 percent of the total MRE). The total also includes the maiden resource for the Southeastern Zone (SEZ) of 1 Mt at 5.2 g/t gold for 164 koz (discovered in late 2022).

The resource is shallow, delineated from surface, remains open at depth and along strike, and located within a 300 m x 200 m area demonstrating strong open pit mining potential. There is significant resource growth potential at new mineralised zones at the northeastern end of SEZ and Crown Prince East (350 m from SEZ).

New Murchison Gold also published strong metallurgical performance from advanced test work at Crown Prince with high recovery of gold through gravity and cyanide leach test work, reporting overall gold recovery rates ranging from 98.2 to 99.8 percent.

Recent high-grade gold intersections at SEZ

Westgold Strategic Alliance

New Murchison Gold announced a strategic alliance and $6 million placement with Australian gold producer Westgold Resources.

The Westgold transaction provides a clear pathway to commercialising Crown Prince in a strong gold price environment, validates the quality of the deposit and enables New Murchison Gold to leverage Westgold’s internal resources, intellectual property and infrastructure to accelerate development.

The primary aim of the strategic alliance is to fast track the development of New Murchison Gold’s Crown Prince deposit into production. As part of the strategic alliance, New Murchison Gold and Westgold has entered into a binding ore purchase agreement (OPA) with Westgold subsidiary Big Bell Gold Operations, for gold produced at Crown Prince. Under the agreement, NMG will deliver 30 kt to 50 kt of ore to Westgold per month with no fixed term. Crown Prince is located only 33 km from Westgold’s 1.6 – 1.8 Mtpa Bluebird Mill.

In addition to the OPA, the strategic alliance may also encompass other strategic collaboration initiatives such as access to Westgold’s expertise and infrastructure. Upon completion of the strategic placement, Westgold will be an 18.7-percent shareholder (undiluted basis) and have the right, but not the obligation to a New Murchison Gold board seat and an equity participation right.

Proceeds from the strategic placement and current cash will allow New Murchison Gold to fast track further resource development, project development and mining proposal workstreams at Crown Prince and continue systematic regional exploration across Ora’s commanding 677 sq km tenure.

Major players are increasingly partnering with junior explorers to secure access to high-grade, quality gold resources. New Murchison Gold’s collaboration with Westgold epitomises this movement, setting a blueprint for mutual success in the industry.

Key Focus

The near-term focus for New Murchison Gold will be further resource growth and rapidly advancing project development and mining proposal workstreams at Crown Prince:

  • Crown Prince Drilling: Further delineating new high-grade mineralised zones at the north-eastern end of SEZ and Crown Prince East (350 metres from SEZ) and resource definition drilling along strike and below 100 metre vertical depth
  • Crown Prince Resource: Updated Mineral Resource Estimate expected in September of 2024.
  • Crown Prince Development: progress detailed technical programs, preliminary project development and mining proposal workstreams and agree on an ore purchase agreement and other strategic collaboration initiatives with Westgold
  • Regional: Continue systematic regional exploration programs across Ora’s commanding 677 sq km tenure package

Management Team

New Murchison Gold is led by a team of experienced professionals with a diverse set of skills and expertise. At the helm of the company’s operations is CEO Alex Passmore, a qualified geologist with extensive corporate finance experience to guide New Murchison Gold’s strategic plan. The board is chaired by Rick Crabb, with extensive experience in the legal and mining sectors providing invaluable governance and oversight.

Supporting the company’s governance structure, Malcolm Randall serves as a non-executive director, bringing a wealth of knowledge from his tenure in the resource sector, including 25 years at Rio Tinto. Frank DeMarte, director and company secretary, contributes over 39 years of mining industry experience in areas of financial management governance and secretarial practice.

The collective experience of New Murchison Gold’s board and management is a cornerstone of the company’s success, positioning it to capitalise on the opportunities within the Garden Gully project and beyond.

For further information on New Murchison Gold’s strategic initiatives and investment opportunities, sign up for a free investor kit.

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The outlook for rare earths is supported by strong supply and demand fundamentals as the world heads into a new economic era with a focus on clean energy and technological advancements.

But with supply chain worries rising, it’s worth looking at which countries have the highest rare earths reserves. Many of the world’s major rare earths producers have large reserves, but some countries with high reserves have low output.

Case in point — mines in Brazil produced only 20 metric tons (MT) of rare earth elements in 2024, but Brazil’s rare earths reserves are the second highest in the world. Countries like this could become bigger players in the space in the future.

Top rare earth reserves by country

Here’s an overview of rare earths reserves by country, with a focus on the eight countries whose reserves are over 1 million metric tons. Data is taken from the US Geological Survey’s latest report on rare earth elements. Reserves are measured in metric tons of rare earth oxide equivalent.

Reserves information is unavailable for a few rare earths producers, including Myanmar, which took the second spot for rare earths production last year.

1. China

Rare earths reserves: 44 million metric tons

Unsurprisingly, China has the highest reserves of rare earths at 44 million metric tons. The country was also the world’s leading rare earths producer in 2024 by a long shot, producing 270,000 MT.

Despite already holding the top position, China remains focused on ensuring that its rare earths reserves remain elevated. Back in 2012, the Asian nation declared that its reserves of these materials were declining; it then announced in 2016 that it would raise domestic reserves by establishing both commercial and national stockpiles.

The country has also been reining in illicit rare earths mining for a number of years, shutting illegal or environmentally non-compliant rare earths mines and limiting production and exports. These production limits have been easing, and in the last few years the country has raised mining quotas several times.

China’s dominance in both rare earth elements production and reserves has caused problems in the past. Rare earths prices surged when the country cut exports in 2010, resulting in an ongoing rush to secure supply elsewhere.

China and the US have been in a trade war over rare earths as each nation battles over who will dominate the global electric vehicle and tech sectors. Taking aim at the US, China banned the export of technology to make rare earth magnets in December 2023.

In recent years, China has begun importing more heavy rare earths from Myanmar, for which the US Geological Survey does not have rare earths reserves data. While China has stricter environmental regulations, the same cannot be said for Myanmar, and the mountains along its border with China have been heavily damaged by rare earths mining.

2. Brazil

Rare earths reserves: 21 million metric tons

Brazil holds the world’s second largest rare earths reserves at 21 million metric tons.

While the nation was not a major producer of rare earths in 2024, that will soon be changing. Rare earths company Serra Verde began Phase 1 commercial production from its Pela Ema rare earths deposit in Goiás state at the top of 2024. By 2026, the miner expects to produce 5,000 MT of rare-earth oxide annually.

Pela Ema, one of the world’s largest ionic clay deposits, will produce the four critical magnet rare earth elements: neodymium, praseodymium, terbium and dysprosium. According to the company, it is the only rare earths operation outside of China to produce all four of those magnet rare earths.

3. India

Rare earths reserves: 6.9 million metric tons

India’s rare earths reserves sit at 6.9 million metric tons, and it produced 2,900 MT of rare earths in 2024, which is on par with the previous few years. India has nearly 35 percent of the world’s beach and sand mineral deposits, which are significant sources of rare earths. The country’s Department of Atomic Energy released a statement in December 2022 breaking down its rare earths production and refining capacity.

In late 2023, the Indian government was reported to be putting policies and legislation in place to establish and support rare earths research and development projects to take advantage of its reserve base. In October 2024, Trafalgar, an Indian engineering and procurement firm, announced plans to build the country’s first rare earth metals, alloy and magnet plant.

4. Australia

Rare earths reserves: 5.7 million metric tons*

Australia holds the fourth largest rare earths reserves in the world at 5.7 million metric tons. The country was also tied for fourth largest rare earths-mining country at 13,000 MT in production. Rare earths have only been mined in Australia since 2007, but extraction is expected to increase moving forward.

Lynas Rare Earths (ASX:LYC,OTC Pink:LYSCF) operates the Mount Weld mine and concentration plant in the country as well as a rare earths refining and processing facility in Malaysia. The company is considered the world’s largest non-Chinese rare earths supplier. An expansion of the Mt Weld plant is slated for completion in 2025, according to Mining Database Online (MDO). MDO also reports that the company’s new rare earths processing facility in Kalgoorlie commenced production in mid-2024, producing a mixed rare earth carbonate feed for Lynas’ Malaysia plant.

Hastings Technology Metals’ (ASX:HAS,OTC Pink:HSRMF) Yangibana rare earths mine is shovel ready, and the company recently signed an offtake agreement with Baotou Sky Rock for concentrate produced at the mine. Hastings expects the operation to produce up to 37,000 MT of rare earths concentrate annually and deliver first concentrate in Q4 2026.

*As per the USGS, ‘Joint Ore Reserves Committee-compliant or equivalent reserves were 3.3 million tons’

5. Russia

Rare earths reserves: 3.8 million metric tons

In 2024, Russia’s rare earth reserves total 3.8 million metric tons. The country’s reserves were lowered significantly from 10 million MT the prior year based on data from company and government reports. Russia produced 2,500 MT of rare earths in 2024, on par with the previous year.

The Russian government shared plans in 2020 to invest US$1.5 billion in order to compete with China in the rare earths market.

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine caused some concern over possible disruptions to the rare earths supply chain in the US and Europe, and there are signs the government has had to put its domestic rare earths sector development plans on ice while it’s mired in war.

6. Vietnam

Rare earths reserves: 3.5 million metric tons

Vietnam’s rare earths reserves stand at 3.5 million MT. It reportedly hosts several deposits with rare earths concentrations against its northwestern border with China, and along its eastern coastline.

For 2024, the USGS has revised down Vietnam’s rare earths reserves from a whopping 22 million MT in the previous year based on company and government reports.

Vietnam’s rare earths production in 2024 was just 300 MT. In 2023, the country had stated a goal to produce 2.02 million MT of rare earths by 2030. However, the arrests of six rare earths executives, including the chairman of Vietnam Rare Earth (VTRE), in October 2023 may have put a kink in those plans. ‘VTRE’s chairman, Luu Anh Tuan, was accused of forging value-added-tax receipts in trading rare earths,’ reported Asia Financial.

7. United States

Rare earths reserves: 1.9 million metric tons

While the country holds second place for rare earths production in 2024 at 45,000 metric tons, the United States takes only the seventh top spot when it comes to global rare earths reserves at 1.9 million metric tons.

Rare earths mining in the US now happens only at California’s Mountain Pass mine, owned by MP Materials (NYSE:MP). MDO reports that MP Materials ‘is establishing downstream (Stage III) capabilities at its Fort Worth Facility to convert a portion of the REO produced at Mountain Pass into rare earth magnets and its precursor products.’

Over the past few years, the US government has made several moves toward strengthening the nation’s rare earths industry. In April 2024, under the Biden Administration, the US Department of Energy earmarked US$17.5 million for four rare earths and critical minerals and materials processing technologies that would produce rare earths from secondary coal and coal by-products as feedstocks.

8. Greenland

Rare earths reserves: 1.5 million metric tons

Greenland’s rare earths reserves total 1.5 million metric tons, but the island nation currently doesn’t produce the metals. However, it does have two significant rare earths projects with large reserves, the Tanbreez project and the Kvanefjeld project.

In July 2024, Critical Metals (NASDAQ:CRML) completed Stage 1 in its acquisition of a controlling-stake in the Tanbreez project from private company Tanbreez Mining. The company commenced drilling on the project in September to better understand the resource model and the projected mine life of the deposit.

Meanwhile, Energy Transition Minerals (ASX:ETM,OTC Pink:GDLNF) has had some challenges with the Greenland government over permitting. Its license for Kvanefjeld was revoked by Greenland’s current government due to the company’s plans to exploit uranium. The company submitted an amended plan that did not include uranium, but the updated version was rejected as well in September 2023. MDO reports that as of October 2024, the company is still awaiting a court decision on its appeal.

With US President Donald Trump back in the White House, Greenland (an autonomous region in the Kingdom of Denmark) and its rare earths reserves are on his radar. However, Greenland’s Prime Minister and the King of Denmark have made it clear that the Greenland is not for sale.

FAQs for rare earths reserves

What are rare earth metals?

Rare earth metals are a basket of 17 naturally occurring elements comprised of 15 elements in the lanthanide series, plus yttrium and scandium. Other than scandium, all rare earths can be divided into “heavy” and “light” categories based on their atomic weight. Heavy rare earths are generally more sought after, but light rare earth elements can of course be important too.

Is lithium a rare earth metal?

Lithium is not a rare earth metal. It is an alkali metal in the same group as sodium, potassium, rubidium and cesium.

What is the global total for rare earths reserves?

Global rare earths reserves amount to 130 million metric tons. With demand for rare earth minerals ramping up as hype about electric vehicles and other high-tech products continues, it will be interesting to see how the top producers contribute to future supply.

What is the annual production of rare earths?

According to the US Geological Survey, global rare earth minerals production in 2024 came in at 390,000 metric tons, up from 376,000 MT the previous year. The production of rare earths has ramped up aggressively in recent years — only a decade ago, global production was just above 100,000 MT, and it first broke 200,000 MT in 2019.

Who is the largest producer of rare earth metals in the world?

China has consistently been the largest producer of rare earths, and its 2024 production made up 270,000 metric tons of the world’s 390,000 MT. In terms of specific rare earths mines, the top producer is the Bayan Obo mine in Inner Mongolia, an autonomous region in Northern China. The mine is owned by the state-owned Baotou Iron and Steel Group.

Are there rare earth minerals in Europe?

There are currently no rare earths mines in Europe, but there are multiple countries with reserves, including one with a significant new discovery. In early 2023, Swedish state-owned company LKAB announced it had identified the continent’s largest rare earths deposit, the Per Geijer deposit, with rare earths resources of over 1 million MT of oxides.

With the European Union focusing heavily on building its own supply chain with the European Critical Raw Materials Act, the Per Geijer deposit could develop into an important source of rare earths for the region.

Several other countries in Europe hold significant rare earths reserves as well. Greenland hosts many deposits totaling 1.5 million MT of rare earths reserves along its coastline, with the majority located in the southwest of the country. The Gardar igneous province in the south hosts the largest ones.

Countries in the Fennoscandian Shield — such as Norway, Finland and, of course, Sweden — also host rare earth deposits, as the region has similar mineralization to Greenland.

What are the most technologically useful rare earth metals?

Rare earth metals play a significant role in various technologies. They are often used in electronics such as laptops and smartphones. Rare earth oxides such as neodymium and praseodymium are used in magnets, aircraft engines and green technologies, including wind turbines and electric vehicles. Samarium and dysprosium are also used in rare earth magnets. Phosphor rare earths such as europium, terbium and yttrium are used in lighting, as are cerium, lanthanum and gadolinium.

How are rare earths mined?

Rare earth elements are either mined from open pits, like many other metals and minerals, or they are mined through in-situ leaching. The metals are found in hard-rock deposits, ionic clay deposits and mineral sands. Some minerals that are mined for rare earths are bastnäsite, monazite, loparite and xenotime.

The open-pit mining process for rare earths is similar to that of other minerals: hard rock is mined, ore is separated from tailings and then it is refined. In in-situ leaching, which is also a common method of mining uranium, miners pump a chemical solution into an orebody. The solution dissolves the targeted materials into a brine that is then pumped back out of the ore and into collection pools. Rare earths mining also has a final step, which is the separation of the different rare earths from each other.

Why is it difficult to mine rare earth metals?

Although rare earths aren’t as rare as you might assume from the name, finding economic deposits is very difficult. This is even more so the case for the heavy rare earths, as orebodies containing them are less abundant versus light rare earths.

Another road bump for rare earths is the separation process. Because the rare earth elements all have similar chemical behavior to each other, they are very tough to separate, making the process difficult and expensive. The most common separation method is solvent extraction, but it is lengthy and can take hundreds to thousands of cycles to achieve high purity levels, according to the Science History Institute.

Lastly, the environmental risks associated with rare earths mining mean even more care needs to be taken to minimize damage to the environment and to the people near the mine.

Is rare earths mining bad for the environment?

Rare earths mining can be very damaging to local environments, especially when it comes to illegal and unregulated mines. A major issue with mining rare earths is that the ore they are extracted from also often contains thorium and uranium, which are both radioactive. This means the separation of rare earths from this ore must be handled carefully, as the waste produced will be radioactive as well.

Unfortunately, it is common for this radioactive waste to make its way into groundwater and streams, which is incredibly damaging to the environment and to nearby communities that rely on this water. This can be seen in the mountains of Southern China and Northern Myanmar, both of which have been heavily exploited for their rare earths.

A report from Global Witness that investigates the effects of rare earths mining in these regions shows that mining in Myanmar has escalated in recent years after China began closing its own mines and outsourcing to the neighboring country. As of mid-2022, 2,700 illegal collection pools from in-situ leaching in the mountains had been identified, and they covered an area the size of Singapore. Those who lived in the region reported difficulty accessing safe drinking water and said local wildlife and fish were dying out.

Additionally, the in-situ leaching process can damage the rocks that are being extracted. Global Witness found that over 100 landslides have already taken place in China’s Ganzhou region as a result of this extraction, and the damage to Myanmar’s mountains is substantial as well.

Securities Disclosure: I, Melissa Pistilli, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

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(TheNewswire)

NOT FOR DISTRIBUTION TO U.S. NEWSWIRE SERVICES OR FOR RELEASE, PUBLICATION, DISTRIBUTION OR DISSEMINATION, DIRECTLY OR INDIRECTLY, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, IN OR INTO THE UNITED STATES.

February 11, 2025 TheNewswire – Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada JZR Gold Inc. (the ‘ Company ‘ or ‘ JZR ‘) ( TSX-V: JZR ) announces that it has entered into a loan agreement with Eco Mining Oil & Gaz Drilling and Exploration Ltda. (‘ Eco ‘) dated September 30, 2024, pursuant to which the Company agreed to lend to Eco up to US$2,000,000 (the ‘ Loan ‘). The Loan, which bears no interest, is to be advanced to Eco in tranches upon request by Eco.  Pursuant to the terms of the Loan, the Company shall have no obligation to advance or make available any funds to Eco and any funds so advanced shall be at the sole discretion of the Company.  As of the date of the Loan Agreement, the Company had previously advanced the sum of US$1,800,000 to Eco, which amount forms part of the Loan. Eco may pay back any amount outstanding under Loan at any time without penalty.

The Company possesses a right to receive a 50% net profit interest in gold produced from the Vila Nova gold project located in the State of Amapa, Brazil (the ‘ Project ‘).  The Project is currently being developed by Eco as the operator. Eco commissioned the manufacture and installation of a gravimetric mill (the ‘ Mill ‘) for the Project, which Mill has been assembled and is being tested.  The Company has advised that Eco requested financial assistance from the Company in order to advance, acquire and assemble the Mill and to further advance the Project.  Management of the Company has determined that it is in the best interest of the Company to advance funds to Eco in order to enable Eco to acquire the Mill, bring it into operation and to further advance the Project, and has agreed to advance funds under the Loan to Eco specifically for the foregoing purposes.

As security for the Loan, Eco has pledged to the Company the Mill and certain rights of Eco pursuant to an agreement between Eco and the Cooperative dos Garimpeiros do Vila Nova.

The Company is at arm’s length with Eco and is not a ‘related party’ of the Company within the meaning of Multilateral Instrument 61-101 – Protection of Minority Security Holders in Special Transactions . The Loan is subject to acceptance of the TSX Venture Exchange.

For further information, please contact:

Robert Klenk

Chief Executive Officer

rob@jazzresources.ca

Forward-Looking Statements

This news release contains forward-looking statements, which includes any information about activities, events or developments that the Company believes, expects or anticipates will or may occur in the future. Forward-looking statements in this news release include statements with respect to respect to the details of the Loan, including the repayment terms and the anticipated use of proceeds by Eco. Forward-looking information reflects the expectations or beliefs of management of the Company based on information currently available to it. Forward-looking information is subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause the actual results, level of activity, performance or achievements of the Company to be materially different from those expressed or implied by such forward-looking information. These factors include, but are not limited to: risks associated with the business of the Company; business and economic conditions in the mineral exploration industry generally; the supply and demand for labour and other project inputs; changes in commodity prices; changes in interest and currency exchange rates; risks related to inaccurate geological and engineering assumptions; risks relating to unanticipated operational difficulties (including failure of equipment or processes to operate in accordance with the specifications or expectations, unavailability of materials and equipment, government action or delays in the receipt of government approvals, industrial disturbances or other job action and unanticipated events related to health, safety and environmental matters); risks related to adverse weather conditions; geopolitical risk and social unrest; changes in general economic conditions or conditions in the financial markets; and other risk factors as detailed from time to time in the Company’s continuous disclosure documents filed with the Canadian securities regulators. The forward-looking information contained in this press release is expressly qualified in its entirety by this cautionary statement. The Company does not undertake to update any forward-looking information, except as required by applicable securities laws.

Neither the TSX Venture Exchange nor its regulation services provider (as that term is defined in the policies of the TSX Venture Exchange) accepts responsibility for the adequacy or accuracy of this press release.

Copyright (c) 2025 TheNewswire – All rights reserved.

News Provided by TheNewsWire via QuoteMedia

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After rising 190 percent over the last five years, the uranium spot price and the broader uranium market remain poised for further growth, fueled by short supply and a slew of positive demand catalysts.

At this year’s Vancouver Resource Investment Conference (VRIC), panelists Rick Rule, Nick Hodge, Fabi Lara and Jordan Trimble offered an overview of key market catalysts, both for the near term and long term.

Moderated by Jesse Day of Commodity Culture, the discussion started with a look at the state of the sector.

“We’ve heard a lot about artificial intelligence (AI) data centers (and) small modular reactors, and obviously the main theme underlying all of this is a production shortfall,” said Day on stage at the event.

“There is not enough uranium being produced today to meet current reactor demands.”

From there, Day invited each participant to share their macro overview of the uranium landscape.

Starting the discussion, Hodge, who is publisher at Digest Publishing, pointed to recent comments made by the newly elected Trump administration as evidence of a pro-nuclear stance in America.

“Even the Treasury secretary, during his confirmation hearing, was talking about — not a clean energy race, but an energy race with China, who is building coal plants, who is building something like 29 reactors right now,’ he said.

More broadly, Hodge underscored the growing global commitment to increase nuclear energy production.

“We had a COP meeting late in 2024 where 31 countries agreed to triple nuclear capacity by 2050,’ he said.

‘That’s up from 20 countries the year before that — a 50 percent increase in the number of countries who said they want to triple nuclear capacity.”

Uranium supply challenges not going away

Offering his thoughts, Trimble who is president, CEO and director of Skyharbour Resources (TSXV:SYH,OTCQX:SYHBF) pointed to the substantial shortfall that is already materializing, noting that annual demand stands at 200 million pounds, while mine supply comes in at only 150 million to 160 million pounds.

“The age of abundant secondary supply has come to an end,” he said.

‘(We) don’t have that buffer that we’ve had for the last 50 or 60 years. So as that depletes, the upward pressure on the price not being able to tap into these secondary supplies is going to become more and more extreme.”

Adding to this pressure will be utility companies.

According to Trimble, a sluggish long-term contracting market contributed to uranium’s weak performance in 2024, with utilities securing just 106 million pounds — well below replacement levels.

However, he expects a surge in contracting in 2025, with volumes projected to exceed 180 million pounds as western utilities restock depleted inventories and secure long-term supply.

Longer term, the steady rate of new nuclear reactor builds is also a significant demand catalyst.

As noted by the World Nuclear Association, there are currently 65 reactors being built globally, with another 95 in the design stage. These new builds will join the 440 operational reactors located in 31 countries, as well as Taiwan.

Buying opportunity for uranium investors?

For Lara, who is founder of the Next Big Rush, it’s important to hone in on what may move a specific stock.

“What I look at is what retail looks at, and what retail looks at currently is the spot price,” she said. “There is a massive correlation of spot price moving and the smaller equities moving with it. So that is something that I keep watching.’

She expects financial players to re-enter the uranium market, driving prices higher after last year’s slowdown.

Lara also acknowledged that contracting volumes have remained low; however, term prices have not declined as much as the spot market. She emphasized that the long-term trend remains positive.

Commenting on the smaller crowd size at the panel and uranium sentiment on social media, she suggested that there is a potential buying opportunity as the market regains momentum.

Easy money has been made, ‘sure money’ still on the table

Rounding out the panel was Rule, proprietor at Rule Investment Media.

The veteran investor and speculator also reassured attendees that there is still money to be made in uranium.

“The basic supply, demand fundamentals for uranium are really good,” said Rule.

“I want to say that the easy money has been made. The easy money is made in the transition from hate to love. That’s over, but I think the sure money is ahead of us,’ he explained. “The sure money is ahead of us because of supply and demand imbalances; the sure money is ahead of us because the political winds have changed.”

These tailwinds, paired with utilities contracting, are the factors that signal to Rule that the “sure money” is ahead..

Unlike other commodities, uranium contracts can extend up to 20 years, providing rare top-line certainty, he explained.

This shift is expected to lower the sector’s cost of capital and enable smaller companies with strong deposits to secure financing or facilitate M&A.

Big tech’s AI pursuits need nuclear power

With the nuclear energy renaissance in full swing, supply security is becoming increasingly important. This is especially true in the US, where electricity generated from nuclear reactors supplies almost 20 percent of the nation’s needs.

Despite being the largest market for uranium, US mine supply fills only 5 percent of the country’s demand annually. This makes the US dependent on uranium imports from Canada, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Russia and Australia.

US uranium imports were in sharp focus in May 2024, when then-President Joe Biden signed the Prohibiting Russian Uranium Imports Act, banning Russian-produced low-enriched uranium until 2040. The legislation took effect in August 2024, though limited waivers may be granted until 2028 to support critical US nuclear energy companies.

The US uranium supply picture was further blurred when new President Donald Trump threatened to levy 10 to 25 percent tariffs on a wide range of imports originating from Canada.

Against this backdrop, Amir Adnani, president, CEO and founder of Uranium Energy (NYSEAMERICAN:UEC), painted a picture of opportunity for the US during his VRIC talk with host Jay Martin.

Adnani praised Chris Wright, Trump’s pick for energy secretary, pointing out that he’s an oil and gas executive with ties to small modular reactors. “Because of power demand growth in the US, there is an ‘everything is needed’ mentality and approach to energy in the US,” he said. “And as a result, I think whether we call it American energy dominance or some of these terms, Trump is going to give it, ‘drill, baby drill,’ as he likes to say.”

Adnani explained that Trump’s campaign battle cry served as a signal to the energy sector.

“If you talk to executives in Midland, Texas, for example, they say, ‘Geez, we don’t want to drill anymore.’ The gas boom, the oil markets are oversupplied. But the reality is, when Trump says, ‘drill, baby drill,’ what he really means is ‘energy, energy, energy,’ and that could not be better captured in the trends we’re seeing with technology companies,” he said.

The uranium executive then went on to explain that a single ChatGPT query consumes 100 times more energy than a simple Google search. “When you look at power demand growth in the US for the last 20 years, it was basically flat,” said Adnani. “And now, when you look at power demand growth in the US just to the end of this decade, the next five years, it’s 10 percent annualized growth, and that growth is coming from the tech sector.”

To meet these rising energy needs Adnani sees nuclear as the only viable solution.

“One pound of uranium generates the same amount of energy as 3,000 barrels of oil,” he said.

“These big tech companies are thinking about what kind of power they can use. (Uranium is) going to have the energy density, it’s going to use less land, space, it’s going to need less transportation. Doesn’t need to involve geopolitically unstable regions. They’re really coming to this hard conclusion.”

Stay tuned for more event coverage, including video interviews with many of the experts who attended.

Securities Disclosure: I, Georgia Williams, hold no direct investment interest in any company mentioned in this article.

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Elon Musk is leading a group of investors in offering to buy control of OpenAI for $97.4 billion, The Wall Street Journal reported on Monday.

The bid is for the nonprofit that oversees the artificial intelligence startup, the Journal reported, adding that Musk’s attorney, Marc Toberoff, said he submitted the offer on Monday.

The WSJ cited a statement from Musk provided by Toberoff, saying, “It’s time for OpenAI to return to the open-source, safety-focused force for good it once was.”

In a post on X, OpenAI CEO Sam Altman wrote, “no thank you but we will buy twitter for $9.74 billion if you want.” Musk then replied to the OpenAI chief on X calling him a “swindler,” and in a reply to a different user, called him “Scam Altman.”

Musk, who is a top adviser to President Donald Trump, is in the midst of a heated legal and public relations battle with Altman. They were two of the co-founders of OpenAI in 2015, establishing the entity as a nonprofit focused on AI research.

OpenAI has since emerged as a giant in generative AI, launching ChatGPT in 2022 and setting off a wave of investment in new tools and infrastructure for next-generation AI products and services. SoftBank is close to finalizing a $40 billion investment in OpenAI at a $260 billion valuation, sources told CNBC’s David Faber last week.

Musk now has a competitor in the AI market, a startup called xAI, and is suing OpenAI, accusing it of antitrust violations and to try and keep it from converting into a for-profit corporation.

Meanwhile, OpenAI partnered with SoftBank and Oracle in a project announced by Trump right after his inauguration called Stargate, which calls on the companies to invest billions of dollars in AI infrastructure in the U.S.

Musk’s offer is backed by xAI, which the Journal reports could merge with OpenAI if a deal were to occur. Other investors in the bid include Valor Equity Partners, Baron Capital, 8VC and Ari Emanuel’s investment fund, the paper reported.

Toberoff sent a letter to the attorneys general in California and Delaware on Jan. 7, asking that bidding be opened up for OpenAI.

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In what can be called an indecisive week for the markets, the Nifty oscillated back and forth within a given range and ended the week on a flat note. Over the past five sessions, the Nifty largely remained within a defined range. While it continued resisting the crucial levels, it also failed to develop any definite directional bias throughout the week. The Nifty stayed and moved in the 585-point range. The volatility significantly declined. The India VIX came off by 15.77% to 13.69 on a weekly note. While trading below crucial levels, the headline index closed flat with a negligible weekly gain of 51.55 points (+0.22%).

A few important technical points must be noted as we approach the markets over the coming weeks. Both the 50-Day and 50-Week MA are in very close proximity to each other at 23754 and 23767, respectively. The Nifty has resisted to this point, and so long as it stays below this level, it will remain in the secondary corrective trend. For this secondary trend to reverse, the Nifty will have to move past the 23750-24000 zone, one of the critical market resistance areas. Until we trade below this zone, the best technical rebounds will face resistance here, and the markets will remain vulnerable to profit-taking bouts from higher levels. On the lower side, keeping the head above 23500 will be crucial; any breach of this level will make the markets weaker again.

Monday is likely to see a quiet start to the week; the levels of 23700 and 23960 will act as resistance levels. The supports come in at 23350 and 23000 levels.

The weekly RSI stands at 46.20. It remains neutral and does not show any divergence against the price. The weekly MACD is bearish and stays below its signal line. A Spinning Top occurred on the candles, reflecting the market participants’ indecisiveness.

The pattern analysis weekly charts show that after violating the 50-week MA, the Nifty suffered a corrective decline while forming the immediate swing low of 22800. The subsequent rebound has found resistance again at the 50-week MA at 23767, and the Nifty has retraced once again from that level. The zone of 23700-24000 is now the most immediate and major resistance area for the Nifty over the immediate short term.

Unless the Nifty crosses above the 23700-24000 zone, it will remain in a secondary downtrend. On the lower side, keeping head above the 23500 level will be crucial; any violation of this level will take Nifty towards the 23000 mark. The markets may continue to reflect risk-off sentiment overall. Given the current technical setup, remaining highly selective while making fresh purchases would be prudent. All technical rebounds should be used more to protect gains at higher levels. At the same time, staying invested in stocks with strong or at least improving relative strength while keeping overall leveraged exposures at modest levels is important. A cautious and selective approach is advised for the coming week.


Sector Analysis For The Coming Week

In our look at Relative Rotation Graphs®, we compared various sectors against CNX500 (NIFTY 500 Index), which represents over 95% of the free float market cap of all the stocks listed.

Relative Rotation Graphs (RRG) show defensive and risk-off setups building up in the markets. Nifty Bank, Midcap 100, and Realty Indices are inside the leading quadrant. But all these pockets show a sharp loss of relative momentum against the broader markets.

The Nifty Financial Services Index has slipped inside the weakening quadrant. The Nifty Services Sector and IT indices are inside the weakening quadrant. The Pharma Index is also inside this quadrant but is seen as attempting to improve its relative momentum.

The Nifty Media, Energy, and PSE indices are inside the lagging quadrant.

The Nifty FMCG, Consumption, and Commodities groups have rolled inside the improving quadrant, indicating a likely onset of the phase of relative outperformance. The Auto, Infrastructure, Metal, and PSU Bank indices are inside the improving quadrant. Among these groups, the PSU Bank Index is seen rapidly giving up on its relative momentum.


Important Note: RRG charts show the relative strength and momentum of a group of stocks. In the above Chart, they show relative performance against NIFTY500 Index (Broader Markets) and should not be used directly as buy or sell signals.  


Milan Vaishnav, CMT, MSTA

Consulting Technical Analyst

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